Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.028142 0.030340 0.032544 0.034916 0.037394 0.039903 0.042631
2025-10-19 0.023943 0.027393 0.030976 0.034959 0.039250 0.043718 0.048708
2025-10-26 0.021970 0.026204 0.030708 0.035825 0.041447 0.047405 0.054170
2025-11-02 0.020023 0.024787 0.029964 0.035957 0.042650 0.049849 0.058129
2025-11-09 0.018320 0.023476 0.029189 0.035912 0.043532 0.051831 0.061483
2025-11-16 0.016822 0.022276 0.028432 0.035787 0.044234 0.053537 0.064465
2025-11-23 0.015445 0.021120 0.027639 0.035542 0.044730 0.054954 0.067071
2025-11-30 0.014308 0.020173 0.027025 0.035444 0.045343 0.056460 0.069741
2025-12-07 0.013024 0.018973 0.026045 0.034857 0.045337 0.057217 0.071521
2025-12-14 0.011794 0.017768 0.025001 0.034137 0.045126 0.057697 0.072950
2025-12-21 0.010681 0.016651 0.024010 0.033433 0.044891 0.058113 0.074272
2025-12-28 0.010347 0.016521 0.024225 0.034183 0.046382 0.060540 0.077927
2026-01-04 0.009569 0.015810 0.023738 0.034120 0.046967 0.061997 0.080574
2026-01-11 0.008844 0.015145 0.023295 0.034109 0.047627 0.063567 0.083394
2026-01-18 0.008542 0.015036 0.023552 0.034965 0.049338 0.066384 0.087686
2026-01-25 0.007978 0.014525 0.023256 0.035094 0.050136 0.068095 0.090659
2026-02-01 0.007394 0.013949 0.022844 0.035050 0.050700 0.069510 0.093270
2026-02-08 0.006828 0.013362 0.022389 0.034927 0.051145 0.070767 0.095684
2026-02-15 0.006264 0.012743 0.021862 0.034686 0.051421 0.071805 0.097822
2026-02-22 0.005791 0.012233 0.021461 0.034589 0.051867 0.073039 0.100192
2026-03-01 0.005203 0.011503 0.020720 0.034011 0.051672 0.073466 0.101567
2026-03-08 0.004625 0.010744 0.019904 0.033303 0.051284 0.073632 0.102608
2026-03-15 0.004098 0.010030 0.019120 0.032609 0.050891 0.073774 0.103603